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Why the ‘Lock-in’ Effect Is Prompting Homeowners to Stay Put

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Financing

Why the ‘Lock-in’ Effect Is Prompting Homeowners to Stay Put

New listings are falling across the U.S. as homeowners refuse to sacrifice their low interest rates for new homes with more expensive housing costs


September 20, 2022
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Image: Stock.adobe.com

Nearly six out of every seven U.S. homeowners have locked in mortgage interest rates well below today’s 6% level, and that share is contributing to a scarcity of new listings, Redfin reports. Homeowners across the country are becoming increasingly hesitant to list their homes if it means giving up their low mortgage rates and taking on a more costly monthly housing bill. 

During the four weeks ending September 11, new listings fell 19% year-over-year, the largest drop recorded since May 2020. Even as the housing market slows, a lack of new inventory is sustaining elevated home prices and leaving would-be buyers with few affordable options.

The high share of homeowners who feel locked into their low mortgage rate is contributing to a steep decline in the number of homes hitting the market. New listings slumped 19% year over year during the four weeks ending Sept. 11, the largest drop since May 2020. 

This “lock-in” effect is manifesting in markets across the country. For example, Redfin found that in Atlanta, Chicago, Los Angeles and Washington, D.C., homeowners with a mortgage rate below 3.5% were 7.6% less likely to put their homes up for sale in August than homeowners with a rate above 3.5%.

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